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Iran could keep the battle with the United States, Israel and the Gulf states going for fourteen months before its stocks of missiles and drones are exhausted at today’s rate of use, say sources inside Iran, talking to an international expert in the UK. This quantity would indicate that the Iranian regime has planned and may be able to endure a protracted and attritional war. Do the initiators of this war have the stomach? |
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14 Months more Missiles:‘Firing from the Cemetery that is Iran’ |
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‘IRGC can keep firing from the cemetery that used to be Iran, at this same rate, for another 14 months’,
Doubts are growing about a policy whose goal is removing the Iranian regime because of its commitment to Israel’s destruction as policy makers perceive the scale and the unforeseen nature of collateral damage as well as the economic consequences and how far these consequences are being felt.
The credibility of the war’s prosecutors, President Trump and Prime Minister Nethanyahu, and their ability to counter these consequences, is going to face increasing scrutiny and challenge.
Could the regime that survives today’s test have its confidence – long battered by Israeli attacks on its proxies—enhanced, even if some of its most prominent negotiators have been removed. It has entered a fight from which it cannot walk away and remain intact; the other side, on the other hand, can make its excuses and leave, however battered may be its reputation.
Such challenge adds to concerns among the expatriate Iranian community that the way the war is being prosecuted could bolster the Iranian regime, quite contrary to the intentions of the prosecutors and quite contrary to their own hopes.
The unpredictability of fighting wars is on display and the world’s environment is taking the brunt.